Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 371.301026 424.607798 484.954365 558.752285 647.137397 750.310495 880.912588
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 293.385861 361.544126 446.437861 561.623439 716.472622 921.356796 1219.756987
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 245.642766 317.309436 412.209653 550.162308 750.965993 1041.618597 1512.037689
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 216.843725 290.723378 393.462018 551.488444 797.439358 1182.334344 1867.586230
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 191.352193 264.121357 369.306272 538.632309 817.126395 1282.724423 2183.890935
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 173.609299 245.896594 354.063537 535.555074 849.745667 1409.067603 2584.086958
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 153.709953 221.955412 326.770978 508.294879 835.299058 1447.164558 2821.461157
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 147.469994 218.096543 330.152124 532.137261 915.098743 1680.098551 3561.005096
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 143.488720 217.203818 337.947844 564.444213 1016.765928 1983.923435 4605.337647
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 134.689788 207.477427 329.609992 565.815291 1057.003735 2165.767757 5422.311112
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 124.343421 194.180559 313.608650 550.269252 1058.739682 2258.791372 6030.905889
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 115.419114 182.537425 299.355509 536.173414 1060.959162 2353.741408 6698.673836
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 111.445947 179.339049 300.412037 553.768184 1140.275227 2677.072490 8382.166908
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 105.869312 172.841194 294.722689 556.705774 1186.352943 2927.866412 10003.786735
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 99.162067 163.735208 283.149305 545.368204 1194.909792 3072.932858 11309.196631
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 94.540668 158.074493 277.678591 546.679928 1236.259309 3334.814723 13414.726435
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 88.848671 149.985398 266.658117 533.963350 1237.779822 3468.532692 15011.644170
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 84.639950 144.394728 260.163975 530.919398 1265.621786 3705.080589 17485.532240
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 78.465635 134.637178 244.370943 503.951945 1220.270157 3662.022801 18175.326069
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 77.473190 134.834856 249.209805 527.538496 1328.698118 4249.236955 24105.592554
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 77.167015 136.340717 256.933039 559.494238 1471.654254 5057.655789 33656.303094
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 74.333464 132.583619 252.941344 560.850298 1517.308165 5469.903381 40685.394170
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 70.409148 126.370751 243.059021 545.474005 1503.923291 5601.887729 45081.702003